Author Topic: The Great British Weather Debate  (Read 51218 times)

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Ian

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #374 on: September 12, 2017, 04:00:22 PM »
Storm Aileen - first of the season - will hit us fairly hard tonight and tomorrow, peaking at 0500 - 0700.

You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login]http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings[/url]

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“Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.”   ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Ian

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #375 on: September 13, 2017, 10:09:49 AM »
Once again the Met office overestimated the wind strength.  It seemed to be building at around 0200 but fell away quickly and by 0400 it was fairly quiet.
“Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.”   ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Hugo

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #376 on: September 13, 2017, 10:17:20 AM »
I didn't hear a thing last night as I slept through the whole thing.  A couple of metal chairs had been blown over but no other problems caused

Merddin Emrys

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #377 on: September 13, 2017, 10:35:00 AM »
Didn't really notice anything,  I think a few leaves have moved a bit.  :)
A pigeon is for life not just Christmas

Nemesis

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #378 on: September 13, 2017, 11:44:13 AM »
There were quite a lot of broken branches and torn off leaves this morning around the roads near Mostyn Champneys.
Mad, Bad and Dangerous to know.

hollins

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #379 on: September 14, 2017, 05:39:33 PM »
Amazing the difference in the wind speed today. Up here completely still but when we arrived in Llandudno we nearly got our heads blown off. It was great seeing the waves come crashing in though.

Fester

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #380 on: September 21, 2017, 11:04:10 PM »
The ITV Weather forecast says rain virtually ALL DAY on Friday throughout Wales.

The BBC TV and Online forecast says no rain whatsoever on Friday in Wales.

What are we supposed to do with that?  It's ridiculous.
Fester...
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Ian

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #381 on: September 22, 2017, 07:35:55 AM »
Well, You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login is worth getting and the premium service is very effective.  Used in conjunction with the You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login it's very effective.

You have to remember a couple of things: all forecasts are based on probability data. No one can be certain where the rain will fall, how long it will last and how intense it'll be. All the online sites take interpretation if you want to get the best information from them.  The other point is that the weather presenters on TV have only 2 minutes at most to present a cogent snapshot of the forecast and that becomes really tricky when you're trying to watch the times and the weather graphics.

“Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.”   ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Hugo

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #382 on: September 22, 2017, 08:15:09 AM »
If it was me I'd accept the BBC forecast as it looks the best option.      ;D

The weather looks ok here at the moment, blue sky with no sign of rain....   not yet anyway!

Ian

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #383 on: September 22, 2017, 08:41:19 AM »
Last night the BBC online forecast did show rain, though; but the picture is constantly changing. Fluid dynamics in the biosphere still remains one of the hardest sciences to predict with any real certainty.  North Wales is a prime example; it can be sunny in Llandudno, gloomy and cloudy in Llanrwst and pouring in Betws, all at the same time.
“Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.”   ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Hugo

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #384 on: September 22, 2017, 02:57:51 PM »
That blue sky didn't last for long!

DVT

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #385 on: September 22, 2017, 03:56:11 PM »
Seems the ITV forecast was closest ... showers of liquid sunshine interspersed with odd bits of blue sky.

This is Wales - all four seasons in one day!

Ian

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #386 on: October 13, 2017, 07:26:34 PM »
Could get blowy over the next few days. Met Office forecaster Grahame Madge said: “Ophelia is forecast to be the strongest ex-tropical system to affect the UK since Katia in 2011, in terms of wind gust speeds.

“Before Katia, Lili in 1996 had 92mph gusts in the Mumbles, south Wales. Ophelia is racing virtually north to Britain and will be a significant storm if it follows its expected track."

It won't take much for it to be nudged westwards - where it will miss us almost completely - or Eastwards, where it will clobber us, to use the technical term.  It will have a lot of rain and the winds could get nasty. Time will tell.
“Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.”   ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.

Hugo

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #387 on: October 13, 2017, 10:30:53 PM »
It seems that it's getting nearer and the winds are increasing on the higher ground and there's flooding in the Conwy Valley too.



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Ian

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Re: The Great British Weather Debate
« Reply #388 on: October 15, 2017, 11:26:35 AM »
Met office has upgraded the wind warning to Orange for Monday.  A little worrying is the lack of rain. That means we'll get the full force of the winds, which are likely to gust up to 80mph, if we're unlucky.  It could still change course. A few degrees West and we'll hardly notice anything.  A few degrees East and hold onto your hats. NW England might fare worse.
“Nothing is so firmly believed as that which we least know.”   ― Michel de Montaigne

Si hoc legere scis, nimis eruditionis habes.